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Forex Probability Indicator

December 29, 2008

ferru1.PNGI’ve been following the development of FerruFx’s Probability Meter for trading Forex with MetaTrader 4.  To be quite honest, I find this to be a pretty brilliant tool for those of us who like to see in BOLD colors which way to trade.  This tool could easily keep you out of the most disastrous trades by shorting a currency that is clearly strong or buying a currency that is weak.  The Probability Meter will show you not only the direction of the trend but how strongly it is moving in that direction.

Basically, how this indicator works is the user must determine whether or not the individual indicators within the chart align.  The creator says that 75-80% is a  good trigger for an entry, but without a doubt other things should be considered like Fib levels and pivot levels.

Example how you can trade with the Probability Indicator from FerruFx: “attach the Meter on M15 and the 2TFs below (M5 and M1). First, the 2 additional indicators on the 3 TFs must agree. Then watch the numbers of the 3 others indicators (doesn’t matter which TF because the number will be the same). If these numbers are about the ones i suggested in the explanation above, then the Global % would be close to a good entry point. 75% seems to work well but with experience we’ll all find our % which we are confortable with.”

 The Probability Indicator works with the following currency pairs:

EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
USDJPY
USDCHF
USDCAD

EURJPY
EURGBP
EURCHF
EURAUD
GBPJPY
GBPCHF
AUDJPY
NZDUSD
NZDJPY
AUDNZD
CHFJPY
EURCAD
AUDCAD

The indicator by itself is only $67.  Check out Forex Forums for a discussion on the Probability Indicator.

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Dealer Lots Manager Expert Adviser

February 2, 2008

Dealer Lots Manager Expert Adviser Review and Notes from www.Mo4Forex.com — Just started testing out a Forex script called Dealer Lots Manager DLMv 1.3, an expert Adviser in Meta Trader 4. And boy, what a rollercoaster this is. I’ve read over a few times the brief explanation about the settings and features of this EA, but I can’t seem to find settings that will make it backtest without depleting my margin.

Here’s just one of many examples, one of many combinations of settings that usually all look like this. Dozens of backtests all failiures within a few trades; not just failiures, money GONE.

However, determined not to be discouraged by this expert adviser, I am testing it live on some trades and it has in fact helped me gain almost $1000 this morning so far! But if you look closely, the EA has opened up for me at least 10 pending orders which isn’t too crazy except look at the lot sizes! Maybe I am missing a setting in the properties for this EA, but I set lot size start 0.1 and step .1, how does that translate into doubling the lot size of each new position? Please comment me back an answer to this if you have one.

dml-expertadviser.png

That’s pretty scary huh? Especially for those of us with $10,000 accounts! They’ve opened 3 positions that are 100 lots each! I never tried to take out a pending order so big, but I’m sure I’ll get hit with “NOT ENOUGH MONEY” message really soon. It’s also a pain to go in one by one and delete all of these trades. So, I doubt positions are very viable or useful in complete automatic mode “Live Trading Enabled,” therefore live trading will be turned off for this Forex EA Dealer Lots Manager for now, but I will allow for manual confirmation of these entries and determine whether or not to take the trade on a number of different factors, not just what this indicator says. I’d love for someone familiar with this EA to write back to me and tell me what settings you had the most success with.

The positions that it did open for me resulted in a few gains, but it’s still impossible to walk away from the computer and trust Dealer Lots Manager to not open a 10 lot position that would wipe most of us out even with a tiny retracement against us. Ok, hope this helped, happy trading Guys.

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